NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated October 08, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karl Loiseau | 11 | 36 | 73.3% | 1 | 31.1 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 10 | 36 | 66.7% | 2 | 27.9 | 3 |
| 3 | Matt Hogel | 9 | 36 | 60.0% | 3 | 27.8 | 4 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 9 | 36 | 60.0% | 3 | 28.8 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Moeller | 9 | 36 | 60.0% | 3 | 27.4 | 5 |
| 6 | Steve Creaser | 7 | 37 | 50.0% | 6 | 26.2 | 6 |
| 7 | Dan Ellenberger | 6 | 37 | 42.9% | 7 | 22.6 | 9 |
| 8 | Mike Thorne | 5 | 38 | 38.5% | 8 | 23.1 | 8 |
| 8 | Nick Boucher | 5 | 36 | 33.3% | 9 | 22.3 | 10 |
| 8 | Gavin Gray | 5 | 36 | 33.3% | 9 | 23.9 | 7 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 11.6 | NA | |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 10.9 | WAS | 0.72 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 8.6 | JAX | 0.59 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Houston Texans | 4 | 10.3 | NE | 0.73 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 7.8 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 9.8 | ARI | 0.67 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 10.3 | BAL | 0.28 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 9.4 | CAR | 0.7 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 9.1 | SEA | 0.62 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 10.4 | NYJ | 0.57 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 8.9 | LV | 0.61 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 8.1 | SF | 0.38 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 12.9 | NA | |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 8.1 | TEN | 0.54 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 6.8 | PIT | 0.39 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 8.9 | DET | 0.39 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 8.4 | DEN | 0.61 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 8.9 | TB | 0.39 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 6.3 | NA | |
| New York Giants | 2 | 6.8 | CIN | 0.38 |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 9.5 | CLE | 0.77 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 8.3 | GB | 0.33 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 8.7 | BUF | 0.43 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 6.9 | NA | |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 10.5 | DAL | 0.61 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 6.2 | CHI | 0.41 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 6.4 | IND | 0.46 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 9.1 | NO | 0.61 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 7.8 | NYG | 0.62 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 5.4 | PHI | 0.23 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 3 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
| Chicago Bears | 3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 4 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Denver Broncos | 3 | 28 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 2 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 12 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 3 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 3 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 2 | 14 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| New Orleans Saints | 2 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| Miami Dolphins | 2 | 13 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 1 | 15 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| Tennessee Titans | 1 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 1 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 19 |
| Cleveland Browns | 1 | 19 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 3 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 1 | 10 | 3 | -2 | 15 |
| New York Jets | 2 | 12 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 2 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Draft Results
